An essay on the assessment of social mobility

But if we do get through all that, " We will have the unique opportunity to learn first-hand from the most hi-tech, research data-backed, psychological Excerpts from the essay below. To me it's like accounting - what good is it unless it tells you how to stay in the green, out of the red?

An essay on the assessment of social mobility

The article then went on to list a number of Russian weapons systems which were clearly superior to their US counterparts when those even existed.

The US definitely has the quantitative advantage, but in terms of quality and training, Russia is way ahead. So what is going on here? Why do otherwise very well informed people have such totally contradictory views? To speak with any authority on this topic I would have to have access to a lot of classified data both on the US armed forces and on the Russian ones.

Still, I am confident that what follows is factually correct and logically analyzed. To sum up the current state of affairs I would say that the fact that the US armed forces are in a grave state of decay is not as amazing by itself as is the fact that this almost impossible to hide fact is almost universally ignored.

The bottom line was this: US forces were better equipped quantitatively and, sometimes, even qualitatively than the others and they could muster firepower in amounts difficult to achieve for their enemies. After WWII the US was the only major industrialized country on the planet whose industry had not been blown to smithereens and for the next couple of decades the US enjoyed a situation close to quasi total monopoly.

That, again, hugely benefited the US armed forces but it soon became clear that in Korea and Vietnam that advantage, while real, did not necessarily result in any US victory.

Following Vietnam, US politicians basically limited their aggression to much smaller countries who had no chance at all to meaningfully resist, never mind prevail.

If we look at the list of US military aggressions after Vietnam see here or here we can clearly see that the US military specialized in attacking defenseless countries.

An essay on the assessment of social mobility

These wars will go down in history as case studies of what happens when politicians believe their own propaganda. While Dubya declared victory as soon as the invasion was completed, it soon became clear to everybody that this war was a disaster from which the US has proved completely unable to extricate itself even the Soviets connected the dots and withdrew from Afghanistan faster than the Americans!

So what does all this tell us about the US armed forces: Actually, no, it is not. The recent wars in Lebanon, Kosovo, Afghanistan and Iraq have clearly shown that well-adapted tactics mostly deny the US armed forces the advantages listed above or, at the very least, make them irrelevant.

This means that there is an emerging consensus amongst the countries which the US tries to threaten and bully into submission that for all the threats and propaganda the US is not nearly as formidable enemy as some would have you believe.

Why nobody seems to be aware of it The paradoxical thing is that while this is clearly well understood in the countries which the US is currently trying to threaten and bully into submission, this is also completely ignored and overlooked inside the United States itself.

This is both true and false. Potential nuclear target countries for the US can be subdivided into three categories: Countries who, if nuked themselves, could wipe the US off the face of the earth completely Russia or, at least, inflict immense damage upon the US China.

Those countries which the US could nuke without fearing retaliation in kind, but which still could inflict huge conventional and asymmetric damage on the US and its allies Iran, DPRK.

Those countries which the US could nuke with relative impunity but which the US could also crush with conventional forces making the use of nukes pointless Venezuela, Cuba.

And, of course, in all these cases the first use of nukes by the US would result in a fantastic political backlash with completely unpredictable and potentially catastrophic consequences. Others would, no doubt, disagree The bottom line: US nukes are only useful as a deterrent against other nuclear powers; for all other roles they are basically useless.

And since neither Russia or China would ever contemplate a first-strike against the USA, you could say that they are almost totally useless I say almost, because in the real world the US cannot simply rely on the mental sanity and goodwill of other nations; so, in reality, the US nuclear arsenal is truly a vital component of US national security.

Which leaves the Navy and the Army.

An essay on the assessment of social mobility

The USN still controls the high seas and strategic choke points, but this is becoming increasingly irrelevant, especially in the context of local wars. Besides, the USN is still stubbornly carrier-centric, which just goes to show that strategic vision comes a distant second behind bureaucratic and institutional inertia.

As for the US Army, it has long become a kind of support force for Special Operations and Marines, something which makes sense in tiny wars Panama, maybe Venezuela but which is completely inadequate for medium to large wars.

Surely that counts for something?I can understand the main points of clear standard speech on familiar matters regularly encountered in work, school, leisure, etc. I can understand the main point of many radio or TV programmes on current affairs or topics of personal or professional interest when the delivery is relatively slow and clear.

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